The Resources

The tools we trade. Now yours.

The community is built around real work. Members have access to the proprietary models we use to manage actual capital. Macro runs through our Trifecta Lens; equities through our Tactical Composite Trend Model and Dual Trend System.

Proprietary Model · Macro01

The Trifecta Lens

Three lenses—fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment—that must align before capital is placed at risk, then resolved into a single reading from −9 to +9.

01 / Fundamentals
The imbalance

A structural gap between supply and demand, large enough to fuel a prolonged trend. Read top-down through yields, currencies, and liquidity, and bottom-up through valuation and the path of earnings estimates.

02 / Technicals
The confirmation

The chart must validate the thesis before capital is placed at risk. A brilliant idea the tape refuses to confirm is a falling knife. Price is the ruthless arbiter of timing and the discipline of risk.

03 / Sentiment
The reaction

How the market reacts to news matters more than the news. We measure complacency, fear, and positioning at the extremes, where the marginal buyer has run out and the crowd has run to one side.

The Trifecta Lens Score

Nine indicators, resolved into a single reading from −9 to +9.

Breadth, liquidity, and sentiment, three inputs each, evaluated against fixed thresholds. The score is the market's vital signs: if breadth and liquidity are failing while the index makes new highs, the patient is not healthy, however it looks. Probabilistic, not binary.

Illustrative reading  +6  /  structurally bullish
−90+9
Proprietary Models · Equities02

Tactical Composite Trend Model + Dual Trend System

Two stages, in sequence: a top-down read of the market first, then a bottom-up hunt for individual opportunities—only once the market is favorable.

Top-Down · Market Trend

We begin by evaluating whether the major market trend is favorable for risk-taking. At its heart is the Tactical Composite Trend Model: a multi-layered system that fuses long-term trend-following with market-breadth composites to identify critical turning points ahead of major trend changes. It moves through a defined sequence.

01 / Risk-Off
The warning
Leadership narrows beneath new highs; a countertrend drawdown may be near.
02 / Capitulation · Bottom
The low
Panic selling at its worst, then fewer stocks making new lows: downside exhaustion.
03 / Thrust
The turn
A breadth thrust—robust upside participation that marks the new advance.
04 / Confirmation
The durability
Long-term breadth flips bullish, suggesting the new uptrend will persist.
Worked example · 2022–2023
The full sequence, one bear market.
AprJulOct’22AprJulOct’23AprJulOct’243,6004,0004,4004,8005,000S&P 500 INDEXRisk-OffBottomBottomThrustConfirmationRisk-Off Composite — Signal Count as a Percentage of Components16.67Capitulation Composite — Signal Count as a Percentage of Components0.00Bottom Composite — Signal Count as a Percentage of Components0.00Thrust Composite — Signal Count as a Percentage of Components0.00Confirmation Composite — Signal Count as a Percentage of Components50.00
Bottom-Up · Selection

Once the broad-market models confirm it is an opportune time to hold equity exposure, the focus shifts bottom-up: scanning for stocks and ETFs already in established uptrends—an added risk control—and showing relative strength against the market.

Dual Trend System

A systematic approach to stock and ETF selection across short- and long-term systems that combine trend and relative-trend indicators—each tuned to a different trader, time horizon, and market environment.

Illustrative screen · Long-Term system

SymbolNameSectorSub-IndustryLT TrendLT RelativeLT SignalLT Days▲
›TXTTextron IncINDUAerospace & Defense10070Bullish0
›FCXFreeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold IncMATRCopper10070Bullish0
›LWLamb Weston Holdings IncCONSPackaged Foods & Meats3020Bearish0
›MPCMarathon Petroleum CorpENRSOil & Gas Refining & Marketing4040Bearish1
›PSXPhillips 66ENRSOil & Gas Refining & Marketing7030Bearish1
›CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings IncINFTApplication Software6030Bearish2
›NRGNRG Energy Inc.UTILElectric Utilities5040Bearish2
›COOThe Cooper Companies, IncHLTHHealth Care Supplies8070Bullish2
›TFCTruist Financial CorpFINLRegional Banks10070Bullish2
›NVDANVIDIA CorporationINFTSemiconductors6040Bearish2
›BKRBaker Hughes CoENRSOil & Gas Equipment & Services6030Bearish3
›MARMarriott International IncCONDHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines10070Bullish4